03-Risk Assessment Model for Water and Air Pollution
Under this activity, PROMPT is dedicated to unveil a comprehensive assessment of water and air pollution. The goal of this task is to develop a risk assessment methodology for oil and HNS spills, which will be achieved by combining hazard and vulnerability estimates. In a quest to assess hazards related to pollutant dispersion, we compute the probability to which meteocean scenarios selected in previous Task (01-modelling of harbour waters for pollutant dispersion risks) that are related. This is done by quantifying the frequency of occurrence of the selected scenarios depending, e.g., on seasons and possible climatic patterns associated to given periodicities.
The next step, we evaluate the vulnerability of the investigated harbours leveraging different metrics, such as (but not limited to) local activities, number of people potentially exposed to oil and NHS spills, time needed by the environment to recover from such accidents, etc. Overall, we develop a bunch of indexes that account for the main physical, biological and/or socio-economic characteristics, as well as the characteristics of the pollutants. A holistic vulnerability index is finally defined for water and air pollution.
In conclusion, the task of modelling risk assessment for water and air pollution is paramount for PROMPT to assess the risks associated with oil and HNS spills onto the sea. The overall objective is to develop a risk assessment methodology for oil and HNS spills, which will be achieved by combining hazard and vulnerability estimates. Then we develop a bunch of indexes that account for the main physical, biological and/or socio-economic characteristics, as well as the characteristics of the pollutants.