WEBINAR on Practices of Scenario Analysis in DRM planning

Key information

Description

In the context of the complex nature of modern crises and disasters, anticipating and preparing for emerging risks requires a comprehensive risk assessment involving scenario analysis. Scenarios provide a systematic method for exploring how a complex and diverse array of risks may impact societies. In other words, scenarios allow an understanding of the level of resilience of communities and support systems. Scenarios question whether organisations or communities can adapt to, and even capitalise on, future changes and stress their existing capabilities to respond to complex and unexpected events. This understanding can be applied to support and rationalise decision-making about the future and inform preparedness for, management, and mitigation of risks. Scenarios are valued for supporting creative thinking about plausible futures rather than attempting to predict individual outcomes accurately. This is useful in resource planning and stakeholder communication exercises, developing greater confidence to react during a disaster.
The 2023 Union Disaster Resilience first Goal - ‘Anticipate’ - emphasises improving the EU and Members States’ civil protection capability in risk assessment, anticipation, and disaster risk management planning in complex disaster risks. The ROADMAP2 3rd webinar aims to provide a forum for exchanging and assessing Disaster Risk Management and civil protection actors’ practices using scenario
analysis techniques. 

The webinar will more specifically explore the following questions:
1. What scenario analysis practices are used by disaster risk management and civil protection actors?
2. What has made these scenario practices particularly useful in anticipating and mitigating disaster risks?
3. What are the Pros and cons of different strategies of Scenario analysis (e.g. qualitative and quantitative approaches)?

The participants

The webinar is oriented towards scientific, operational, and policy experts in disaster management planning within DRM and civil protection.

Registration
To register for the webinar, please click here 

Related content