Emissions Gap Report 2024

The report analyses how much additional effort countries must commit to in their new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) for 2025 in order to keep global warming to 1.5°C. It finds that global emissions need to fall by 42% by 2030 and 57% by 2035. Without stronger pledges and immediate action, the world is heading towards 2.6–3.1°C of warming, with severe consequences for people, nature and economies.

The report stresses that a 1.5°C pathway remains technically achievable through rapid expansion of solar and wind energy and the protection of forests. Achieving this requires more ambitious NDCs, coordinated whole-of-government action, enhanced international cooperation, major financial reforms, a significant increase in mitigation investment, and strong leadership from G20 countries.