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Temperature-related mortality burden and projected change in 1368 European regions: a modelling study

Published on 4 September 2024
First pan-European assessment, estimates current and future temperature-related mortality risk under four climate change scenarios in European region
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Temperature-related mortality burden and projected change in 1368 European regions: a modelling study

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Author details
David García-León, Pierre Masselot, Malcolm N Mistry, Antonio Gasparrini, Corrado Motta, Luc Feyen, Juan-Carlos Ciscar
Unique identifier
https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00179-8
temperature, mortality, projection, regions

Excessively high and low temperatures substantially affect human health. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heat-related morbidity and mortality, presenting unprecedented challenges to public health systems. Since localised assessments of temperature-related mortality risk are essential to formulate effective public health responses and adaptation strategies, the study aimed to estimate the current and future temperature-related mortality risk under four climate change scenarios across all European regions. Results highlight regional disparities in temperature-related mortality across Europe.

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Hazard types

Freeze Heatwave

Geographic focus

all Europe/EU

Sectors

Risk reduction & assessment

Risk drivers

Climate change